Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1904.353057 2079.736771 2259.149969 2456.132044 2666.044129 2882.766053 3123.149173
2024-10-20 1616.771739 1873.388128 2147.521543 2461.058679 2808.612387 3180.956033 3608.878554
2024-10-27 1376.914343 1671.202548 1996.291811 2379.789889 2817.491088 3299.167673 3866.927489
2024-11-03 1287.949784 1621.667219 2000.120203 2457.336294 2990.855048 3589.863381 4309.210292
2024-11-10 1200.684555 1562.872661 1983.410924 2502.302945 3119.615678 3824.803105 4685.253973
2024-11-17 1103.018557 1482.258487 1932.589823 2499.369051 3185.873579 3982.672896 4969.100960
2024-11-24 1006.074620 1394.553899 1865.956770 2470.576135 3215.421059 4092.861533 5193.789350
2024-12-01 946.731345 1349.105359 1846.829171 2495.865578 3307.257424 4275.363383 5504.022724
2024-12-08 882.483313 1292.635797 1809.693294 2494.945804 3363.887173 4413.444864 5760.093976
2024-12-15 845.984903 1269.742212 1812.939710 2543.064665 3480.357529 4624.438753 6106.083077
2024-12-22 786.054127 1211.583915 1767.014026 2524.982747 3510.846108 4727.671115 6319.008100
2024-12-29 761.347811 1199.718760 1780.526648 2583.022784 3637.964060 4951.788082 6683.514321
2025-01-05 717.900271 1160.142287 1756.101181 2591.105708 3701.899091 5099.127874 6956.811912
2025-01-12 676.523137 1121.177242 1730.566195 2596.199820 3761.177871 5240.795218 7224.536457
2025-01-19 608.158669 1039.015781 1641.545060 2511.511659 3698.427029 5223.039881 7287.073932
2025-01-26 598.946795 1043.554669 1673.415898 2592.321026 3856.853658 5492.714975 7720.825508
2025-02-02 579.760894 1031.810359 1681.205842 2639.168641 3969.580789 5703.614064 8080.574801
2025-02-09 546.912577 997.225185 1654.440837 2636.112266 4013.490797 5823.770949 8322.871574
2025-02-16 508.685865 952.020279 1610.086997 2606.115528 4018.790285 5891.732350 8496.468125
2025-02-23 488.619061 934.480986 1605.605902 2632.462489 4101.697306 6063.434975 8807.917772
2025-03-02 462.596888 905.805523 1583.092948 2631.504297 4145.696281 6182.686369 9050.416845
2025-03-09 451.202286 900.538939 1595.611916 2681.628565 4261.879438 6400.421110 9426.107726
2025-03-16 423.520813 866.431714 1562.386404 2662.794120 4279.220685 6483.223523 9621.083709